It seems fashionable among hockey bloggers to take shots at Eklund these days, and I don’t want to pass up an opportunity like this.

Prior to free agency opening on Canada Day, Eklund provided a list of predictions over at Hockey Buzz. Let’s dissect what Ek saw as he was looking into his crystal ball a few short days ago.

* There will be less than 15 signings on the first day due to cap restrictions, but there will be several trade rumors and at least 3 trades that make signings happen…

According to TSN, 49 players signed contracts on July 1, and 33 of those are players changing teams. Eight of the players signed July 1 will earn an average of in excess of $5 million per season over the course of their contract (and that doesn’t count Bouwmeester, who signed on June 30). Cap restrictions be damned.

* Beauchemin to either Montreal or Tampa

He hasn’t signed yet, so Ek could still be right on this one.

* Ohlund to LA, NJ, or Anaheim (or maybe a real surprise)

Ohlund was the first free agent to move, and using “maybe a real surprise” to say “or any of the other 27 teams in the NHL” is cheating. Ohlund signed in Tampa.

* Saku Koivu to Anaheim

Nothing to report here. I’d be surprised if he ends up there.

* Knuble will re-sign with Philly

Signed with Washington.

* Hossa will be a domino after Heatley decides if he wants to go to Edmonton or NY

No waiting on Heatley. Hossa signs long-term in Chicago.

* Martin Biron will sign with Avalanche or Oilers

Nothing yet. Likely to be with the Avs, though.

* Cammalleri will sign with Buffalo, Nashville or Toronto

No, no, and no. The sniper goes to Montreal.

* The Sedins will sign in Montreal

The twins decide not to test free agency and opt to stay in Vancouver.

* Komisarek will sign in NJ or the New York Islanders, but don’t rule out a return to the Habs.

Toronto’s first big move was acquiring Komisarek.

* The Hawks will attempt to move Huet and bring back Bulin

Edmonton loses Roloson and doesn’t give Chicago a chance at Khabibulin.

* Havlat will not be signed today, but will likely end up back in Chicago

He was, and he didn’t. Headed to Minnesota on the first day of free agency.

* The Rangers will attempt to spend their money. Although I dont see it happening, expect Vinny rumors if Heatley goes to Edmonton.

They did spend a big chunk of cash on Gaborik.

* The Thrashers will make a few really solid signings, that no one will expect.

I’m not sure if I consider Antropov to be a “solid” signing, but we’ll give Ek the benefit of the doubt here.

* The Wild will get in on Hossa and make another play for Heatley (and possibly Vinny)

Not sure if they took a run at Heatley, but they did get Hossa.

* The Islanders will make a play for a major player as well. if not Komisarek, maybe Ohlund

No, Roloson doesn’t count as “a major player”.

* Kaberle to Boston for Kessel will be revisited.

I’ve got nothing to confirm or refute this.

So, out of 17 predictions, Eklund scores correctly on 3 (the Rangers attempting to spend their money, the Thrashers making a big signing, and the Wild getting Hossa). Four are still up in the air, and the remaining 10 are flat-out wrong.

I don’t want to be too critical; making predictions is tough business, and in the end, all it really does is fuel smart asses like myself in writing posts like this. But that’s the business Eklund is in, so of course I’m going to keep the scorecard on it. Maybe next year I’ll make some picks too, and we’ll see how “insider information” does against my random guesses and SportCenter education.

Thoughts on the Draft, another Sutter, and more…

Draft: Darryl Sutter takes a defenceman in the 1st round… big surprise!? He loves his defence and it’s gonna be a good ride for this young kid in the Flames organization.  With that said, the Flames did take 4 forwards and a goalie in rounds 3-7 (no pick in round 2) so it wasn’t a big splash of a draft but we’ll see how the Flames develop these kids!

Brent Sutter: As the THIRD Sutter brother to coach this team, I’m finding it hard not to give props to the NJ Devils for letting him walk and negotiate with another team… At least we’re in the other conference.  With that said, Brent has the best pieces to be the most successful of the Brothers to coach this team.  With his focus being leadership and defence, the Stars WILL be held accountable.  Brian Sutter was a great coach (Like MIke Keenan, probably wouldn’t fair that well in the ‘New’ NHL) but Brian was given Dwayne Roloson; Tyler Moss; and Rick Tabaracci in his first year… Fred Brathwaite; Ken Wregget; (an unproven) J.S. Giguere; Andre Trefilov; Tyler Moss and a kid named Tyrone Garner as goaltenders in his second season and finally, he had Brathwaite; Giguere and Grant Fuhr in his third season… With Kiprusoff and McElhinney, he’ll have stability and a slew of young ‘tenders in Matt Keetley and Leyland Irving.  Any Sutter coaching in Alberta has enough pressure in itself, I’m thinking Brent’s up for the job!

Free Agents: What to do? Darryl made it clear that he’s not counting on the FA market, and by trading the rights to Leopold (who they couldn’t come to terms with) for a chance at Bouwmeester, that was a great move to have a top four defence potentially look like Regehr, Phaneuf, Bouwmeester and Sarich with Giordano and Pardy filling things out. (we still have guys like Matt Pelech and John Negrin as solid prospects.)  Hate to see two-way Vandermeer go but we get back a decent young player who knows the organization and is well liked.   Finally, would you let Cammalleri and Bertuzzi walk? I say yes… WIth Jokinen here, no room for Cammi and no chemistry… Bertuzzi, unless he takes less money, no worth it…  Aucoin is a solid D but money speaks too loud and too high so let him walk… Lundmark may be the only Cgy UFA I go after if I’m Darryl Sutter… Among the RFA’s, Pardy and Boyd are a no brainer for the price and years you get for them.

Always a Pleasure!

Naoto Yuki

I’ll keep this short and sweet…

1) Darryl Sutter - Simply put, he put this team in a tough position cap wise and put too much faith too soon in young Dion Phaneuf to carry the defence.  Every knowledgable fan I’ve spoken with says we were better off with Lombardi who has too much promise for a high rental like Jokinen.

2) Mike Keenan - Darryl Sutter’s hand picked coach to replace Jim Playfair has had two full seasons and there was just no stable element to his coaching… Pulling Kipper in Game 7 of the 2008 playoffs when the Flames only had 8 shots for and 30+ against; line juggling like he was rolling the dice; playing his goalie 75+ games… call it what you like, he didn’t get the job done.

3) Mikka Kiprusoff - His stats have dipped every year since the Cup run and 85% of fans will say it’s his work load and that comes back to Sutter but he didn’t steal any games in the playoffs and the cracks were more visible than ever.

4) Dion Phaneuf - Was it the increased work against better players? Dating Elisha Cuthbert? Whatever the case was, you don’t become the whipping boy in Calgary if you’re a smart, heads up player but he wasn’t… I like the previous entry by Josh that may have pointed to the hidden secret of his downward play… http://calgaryflames.net/2009/01/11/explaining-phaneufs-performance/

Always a please and there’s Always next year (Geez, I’m sounding like a Leaf fan…)

naoto

Random thoughts on the game…

Tonight, the Calgary Flames finally came prepared to play a full 60 minutes and played some of the best hockey that I have seen all year. They were finally able break down the “Bulin Wall” and contain the Blackhawks first line scorers.

While talking with some co-workers this afternoon, we were discussing the importance of the “energy guys” for the Calgary Flames and what they needed to do to help the Flames succeed. Players like Glencross, Moss, Nystrom, and Bourque needed to have more significant roles and provide some secondary scoring. Wow, did they ever pull through tonight. They all looked amazing and played with great intensity.

I still think there are some guys out there on the ice that need to change their game drastically. Todd Bertuzzi has been frustrating to watch this entire series. I have lost count of the number of times he has made blind drop passes, only to be intercepted by the Hawks and hurried up the ice on an odd man rush. Dion Phaneuf, although playing better of late, seems to lack any sort of emotion. Dion is at his best when he harnesses his emotion to battle against the opponents top lines.  It also baffles my why they continue to play him incessantly on the power play. The power play is struggling tremendously right now and I think that Dion is one of the major reasons why

Lastly, the needless goonery by the Blackhawks in the final minutes of the game was a disgrace to their team. While it may have increased the intensity heading into game 4, a player like Adam Burish (and his coach) must be penalized for their wreckless actions. In the end, it just made the Chicago players and coaching staff look bad.

That being said, game 4 should be a dandy!

At beating themselves…

I will not give credit where credit is not due and the Blackhawks are NOT the stronger team in this series… The Flames have played great hockey… but have yet to find the magical line combination.  I remember a good 12 years back when the Philly Flyers had their Legion of Doom Line, (John LeClaire-Eric Lindros-Mikael Renberg) which was an unstoppable force ’til they played Detroit in the finals…  Similarily with the Flames in 2004, if Conroy, Iggy and Marty (Gelinas) were on the ice, good things happened.  In my earlier blog, I mentioned Line chemistry as one of the keys to a Flames series win and I’m more convinced than ever that certain guys need to play together to be successful.  My Lines you ask? (maybe you didn’t)

(RW-C-LW, Bold = Keystone player for that line)

Line 1: IGINLA-Conroy-Cammalleri (Iggy simply needs to be the best of the best)

Line 2: Glencross-Jokinen-BOURQUE (Olli needs the size, speed and protectin of a guy like Bourque, plus the grit and hands of Glencross to be successful… Other possibility is to put Bertuzzi in for Glencross)

Line 3: Bertuzzi-LANGKOW-Moss (Langks is the keystone player of this series… if Langkow can get it going, the team plays well behind him.)

Line 4: NYSTROM-Lundmark-Roy (I can see Eric Nystrom getting a similar goal like dad did for the Islanders because of his style of play and determination… he can fit into any line and give it the gusto it needs)

Defence: I’ll leave this part blank ’til Regehr and Sarich are back playing at a 75 - 80% level…

I’m still in the agreement that Calgary will win this series but Chicago moves the puck up faster than most teams but that hasn’t stopped Calgary from dominating teams like that in past series’.  The Bulin Wall has many cracks and he’s been more lucky than good in this series.

Flames in 7!

Always a pleasure!

naoto

Western Conference

VS

While the Ducks have been one of the better teams in the latter part of the season, I just don’t think they have the depth to beat the Sharks. The Sharks have been a powerhouse in the NHL throughout the entire year and are not going to be an easy opponent in any round. However, I think this will be wildly entertaining series that should go the distance.
Trevor’s Pick: San Jose in 7

VS

Columbus’s first attempt at the playoffs could be short lived. Although the Blue Jackets did have some success against the Red Wings in the regular season (3-3), I don’t believe they have what it takes to beat the veteran Detroit team.
Trevor’s Pick: Detroit in 5

VS

As much as I hate to admit it, any team that has Roberto Luongo between the pipes is going to be difficult to beat. As we have seen many times this year, he can win games single-handedly when the rest of the team decides to take the night off.
Trevor’s Pick: Vancouver in 6

VS

The Flames have had a terrible time trying to handle the young, speedy Chicago Blackhawks this year. Dropping all 4 decisions this season, the Flames are definitely the underdogs in this contest. While the Flames players all seem to be confident that they can win this series, I think this will be a huge undertaking. The Flames fan in me is obviously swaying my decision in this one…
Trevor’s Pick: Calgary in 6

Eastern Conference

VS

What a roll reversal from last year. The B’s are dominant this year while the Habs struggled to make the dance. I predict the Bruins will be too much for the Canadiens and the series will be quick.
Trevor’s Pick: Boston in 5

VS

Any team with Sean Avery deserves to fail miserably and rot on the golf course. While I don’t think this will be an easy task for the Capitals, I believe #8 will prove he is truly the most valuable player in this league and win the series for Washington.
Trevor’s Pick: Washington in 7

VS

While Carolina played tremendously for the second half of the season, and in fact won the season series with the Devils 3-1, I don’t think that the Devils will roll over in the post season and let that trend continue. A healthy Martin Brodeur, snipers like Zach Parise and Patrik Elias, and a post season all-star like Jamie Langenbrunner make the Devils a sure favourite.
Trevor’s Pick: New Jersey in 5

VS

This should be one of the most exciting series in the first round and should go the distance. Both teams are extremely talented offensively, however I believe the more physical team will eventually win.
Trevor’s pick: Philadelphia in 7

After a brief hiatus, I’ve returned…

I’ve been a somewhat regular attendee at Flame Games since January and things were looking great… we all know how the season turned out but a fresh, new, clean slate is at hand and I was thinking about the differences between the teams of the Cup Win, The Last Cup Final and This year…

The major differences in success was defence and goaltending… well, duh! but how does it all compare?  How did and How do the teams look…?

1989… Mike Vernon was 25yrs old, played in only 52 games (reg. season) while Rick Wamsley was 29yrs old and played 35 games… The main defensive core was Al McInnis (25yrs); Rob Ramage (30yrs); Jamie Macoun (27yrs); Ric Nattress (26yrs); Dana Murzyn (22yrs) and Brad McCrimmon (29yrs), they also had a young buck by the name of Gary Suter who was 24yrs old at the time… There was only one player 35 or older who happened to be the Captain, Lanny Mcdonald…

2004… Mikka Kiprusoff was 27yrs old having been a mid-season acquisition and played a mere 38 games while his group of backups (Turek; McLennan and Sabourin) played a total of 48 games.  The main defensive core was Robyn Regehr (23yrs); Jordan Leopold (23yrs); Steve Montador, Andrew Ference and Mike Commodore (all 24yrs) and Rhett Warrener (28yrs)… the greybeard of players 35 and older was the one and only Dave Lowry (38yrs)…

2009… Mikka Kiprusoff is now 32yrs old having averaged 75 games/season (reg. season) for his past 4 seasons and Curtis McElhinney is 25yrs old having only 1 career NHL win to his credit.  The main defensive core is Dion Phaneuf (23yrs); Adrian Aucoin (35yrs); Cory Sarich (30yrs)*; Robyn Regehr*, Jordan Leopold and Jim Vandermeer (all 28yrs) and Adam Pardy (24yrs)… the young bucks of defence include Matt Pelech (21yrs) and John Negrin (19yrs)… the number of 35yrs and older have gone up with Adrian Aucoin (35yrs) and Craig Conroy (37yrs)…

All in all, the summer of 2009 doesn’t look like a long one compared to the previous Stanley Cup Final teams but here are my keys to a long and prosperous 2009 Stanley Cup Playoffs for the Calgary Flames.

1) Line chemistry… In Saturdays game in which I sat watching from the Sport Check Zone, Cammalleri and Conroy seemed to hit it off like Iggy and Connie did back in 2004… Jokinen has great hands and maybe better suited to a guy like Bertuzzi (Good ’ol Swiffer man with the one handed puck control and passes) than with Iggy… The simple fact is that Iginla has the prowess to play with anyone and any way… he can bang at rebounds and fight in corners with Nystrom, make pretty passes and give-and-go’s with Langkow or Jokinen and he can find the sniper in Cammalleri on the PP…

2) The Green Hard-hat approach… okay, I get it, the Daryl Sutter days are over but a comittment to the little things and working their butts off worked in 1989 and again in 2004… there is no reason to believe it can’t work in 2009… which leads me to the third and final key…

3) Mike Keenan… He’s lit a fire under every superstar that has played for him and when that supestar gets with the program, he’s succeeded… I’m not convinced that Iggy is 100% with his coach (they’re both fierce competitors but something elusive is going on…)  Keenan has made heros out of guys like Tim Kerr (PHI), Ron Hextall (PHI), Brian Propp (PHI), Chris Chelios (CHI), Ed Belfour (CHI), Mark Messier (NYR), Brian Leetch (NYR), Mike Richter (NYR), Brett Hull (STL), Chris Pronger (STL), Pavel Bure (VAN), Todd Bertuzzi (VAN), Jason Allison (BOS), Joe Thorton (BOS), Olli Jokinen (FLA), Valerie Bure (FLA) and now Mike Cammalleri and Rene Bourque.  Keenan’s only downside that has really hurt him recently (From St. Louis through Calgary) is his goaltending… maybe it’s because he’s has to use Starters for an average of 70+ games/season because of an inadequate backup but seems like his main guys are burnt out or tired at the end of the regular season… everyone from Grant Fuhr (who played 79 games in Keenan’s one full year with the Blues) or Roberto Luongo who played close to or just over 70 games while their time together in Florida up to now having Kipper play 75 games/season in his two years under Iron Mike… Something’s gotta give!

Finally, just food for thought but here is the goalie/defence synopsis of Keenan’s Cup winning Rangers team in 1994.

1994… Mike Richter (27yrs) played 68 reg. season games with Glen Healy (31yrs) playing 29 games… The main defensive core was Brian Leetch (25yrs); Sergi Zubov (23yrs); Jeff Beukaboom (28yrs); Alexander Karpotsev (23yrs); Kevin Lowe (34yrs) and Jay Wells (34yrs)… The greybeards 35yrs and older? The One and only Craig McTavish who was 35yrs old

The Flames of 2009 remind me a lot of this 1994 NYR team having a young stud defencemen (Brian Leetch vs. Dion Phaneuf) with solid stay at home defencemen (Beukaboom & Lowe vs. Regehr & Sarich) Good charactered greybeards (McTavish vs. Conroy) and finally a workhorse of a goalie (Richter vs. Kiprusoff)… All in all, Sutter built this team for Mike Keenan and here’s hoping the Flames bring home the Cup in their 20th Anniversary of winning Cup number 1

Always a Pleasure!

naoto

Ethan Moreau is the latest victim.

Call me crazy, but I can’t really see the argument against wearing a visor.

With a .907 save percentage, and a 2.80 GAA, one might suppose that Miikka Kiprusoff isn’t having a very good season. However, I would venture to say that he has been the primary reason why the Flames are currently sitting comfortably in 1st place in the North West Division. His play of late has been outstanding his saves have been world class.

The Vezina Trophy is awarded annually to the National Hockey League’s goaltender who is “adjudged to be the best at this position”.  Under this definition, Miikka Kiprusoff may not be considered by many as a candidate for this prestigious award. However, if you ask any member of the Calgary Flames, I am certain they would all disagree. Last week’s shut out win over the L.A. Kings, and his play last night versus the Canucks are some of many prime examples of how valuable he has been to the Calgary Flames this year. Night in and night out, he gives the Flames a chance to win.

Here is my Schrute-like evaluation of Miikka Kiprusoff this year:

Fact: Miikka Kiprusoff has played more games than any other goaltender this year. Last night he played in his 53rd game of the season. Every Flames win this year has been backstopped by number 34. His TOI is also the highest in the league playing more than 3100 minutes to this point in the season.

Fact: Kipper has seen more rubber than any other goaltender this year. In total, 1565 shots have been fired in his direction, of which, 1419 of them have been stopped.

Fact: Kipper has more wins than any other goaltender this year. 33 wins already putting him on pace for 47 wins on the season. The current NHL record for wins was set in the 2006-07 season by Martin Brodeur in which he won 48 games. If Kipper can pick up a few extra wins in the coming weeks, he could easily break the record this season.

Fact: Miikka Kiprusoff earned his 4 shutout of the season last week in a 2-0 win over L.A. - this ranks him tied for 6th among NHL goaltenders this season. Thanks to an average of 30.4 shots against per game this season, shutouts have been hard to come by for Kipper and the Flames this year.

Fact: From a Calgary Flames team perspective, Miikka Kiprusoff owns numerous records including most wins in a season, most games played in a season, most shutouts in a season, and most total shutouts for the franchise.

Fact: Without Miikka Kiprusoff between the pipes this year, the Calgary Flames would find themselves in a much different worse situation right now.